Tuesday, February 5, 2008

Super Tuesday Results

Trying a little live blogging here. Sort of a futile excercise when no one but me is reading. I'll do as much as I can until dinner time... you gotta love take out.

7pm - NBC projects Obama wins Georgia. Exit polls show Obama getting 43% of the white vote and 49% of voters aged 40-59.

7:20pm - Early delegate estimates: 35 for Obama. This number is off - 103 total in the state.

7:25pm - Republicans too close to call in GA. Three way race: with 3 precincts reporting, McCain 38%, Romney 28%, Huckabee 27%

7:37pm - The MSNBC ticker is reading the GOP caucus in West Virginia as 100% reporting and Huckabee wins with 52%, Romney coming with 47%. Eight states close their polls at 8pm EST. Much more then.

8pm - Obama projected winner in Illinois. Clinton projected winner in Oklahoma. Romney takes Massachusetts, McCain takes New Jersey and Connecticut.

8:04pm- McCain takes Illinois.

8:13pm - Too close to call in NJ, CT, TN, too early to call in AL for the Dems.
Too close to call in MO, OK, TN and too early to call for the GOP.

Taking a break. More later.

9:15pm - Obama takes Delaware. Clinton wins Tennessee and Massachusetts! This after the Kennedy endorsements... perhaps a few days too late? Two trains of thought: Speculation is that the message of change that Obama touts was possibly hampered by the Kerry and Kennedy establishment. Point two is that Obama was only polling at 22% an MA before Kennedy's endorsement so anything more than a 22% return is a boost.
Delegates won so far: Clinton 93, Obama 43.

Chuck Todd trying to figure out the delegate math.
MSNBC predicts New Jersey for Clinton at 9:20pm. McCain projected winner in NY. Looks like McCain is picking up speed.

9:25pm - Obama is the projected winner in Alabama.

10:28pm - NBC projects Obama to win Connecticut! That's big. It's almost a 50/50 split.

10:33pm - Romney's speechifying in Massachusetts about a run to the convention and predicting a victory. He has fallen down the rabbit hole.

Here are the results so far:
Democrats-
Clinton: MA, NY, NJ, TN, OK, AR
Obama: CT, IL, DE, AL, GA, MN, ND, KS

Republicans-
McCain: NY, NJ, CT, IL, OK , DE
Romney: MA, UT
Huckabee: GA, WV, AR, AL

Severe weather in Tennessee caused polls to close early. Possible tornadoes. Two fatalities reported so far. Arkansas was hit as well.

10:50pm - Hillary Clinton speaking about the little people. The Republicans want more of the same.

10:54pm - Obama is ahead in Idaho 75% to 23% and ahead in Minnesota with 64% of the vote after 40% of the precincts have reported in both states.

11:02pm - California too close to call for both parties. AZ goes to McCain (duh...). Romney wins ND. Obama wins MN and ID.

11:06pm - Huckabee's being interviewed by Chris Matthews and claims he's not dropping out until someone wins the 1191 delegates needed for the GOP. He's staying in until St. Paul unless the trip is meaningless.

Recap:
Democrats-
Clinton: MA, NY, NJ, TN, OK, AR
Obama: CT, IL, DE, AL, GA, ND, KS, MN, ID, UT

Republicans-
McCain: NY, NJ, CT, IL, OK , DE, AZ
Romney: MA, UT, ND
Huckabee: GA, WV, AR, AL


11:15pm - David Axelrod thinks the Obama camaign will have trouble in CA because of early voting. Most of Obama's surge has come within the last two weeks. Hillary wins AZ. With 2% of CA reporting, Hillary is up with 57% of the vote but according to CNN, Obama is capturing not only the black vote, but the white vote!

11:25pm - Delegate count: Clinton 170, Obama 128. 2025 needed to win the nomination.
Tim Russert: "It's far from over." The Clinton campaign thought Super Tuesday would be the definitive night to propel them to the nomination.

11:32pm - Romney projected winner in MN.

11:37pm - John "My friends" McCain speaking in Arizona...zzz... "We must get used to the idea that we are the Republican frontrunner for the nomination of President of the United States... and I don't mind it one bit."

11:43pm - Obama speaking now in Chicago. Huckabee wins Tennessee! California still too close to call. Obama: "There's one thing on this February night, that we don't need the final results to know: our time has come."

11:49pm - Obama wins Colorado! With 93% of the precincts reporting, Missouri is still too close to call. Hillary leads 49-48.

11:58pm - Romney wins Montana... what is that? Three delegates?

12:04am - Obama has finished another stirring speech. I'm signing off now but will try to stay up for the California result.

Goodnight.

12:12am - I'm back. Hilllary Clinton and John McCain are projected to win California. Looks like Romney might be out considering he needed it badly.... Apparent winner in MO is McCain. Still waiting for the Democratic winner.

12:22am - Obama leads Clinton in MO by 4600 votes with 98% reporting.

12:26am - Obama leads by 4926 votes in MO.

12:30am - MSNBC: Tomorrow will be a day of "frank discussions" in the Romney camp after big blows in California and Missouri.

12:38am - The spin begins. Clinton campaign spokesman Jay Carson says they always thought this race would be tight and they withstood this massive surge by the Obama camp. In actuality, Obama has overcome double digit deficits in a just a few weeks and Clinton was lucky to win as much as she did in my opinion. Had Super Tuesday been next week or had California not vored early, the outcome would be completely different. And we'll find out over the course of the next week with more primaries and caucuses to go.

12:40am - Barack Obama is the apparent winner in MO! Carson still spouting the "ready to lead on day one" talking point. Claire McCaskill speaking for the Obama camaign retorted that we need someone with the right judgement to lead on day one.

12:43am - Obama wins Alaska.

Okay, now I'm going to bed even though Chris Matthews just asked me not to. Maybe he likes my musk and has a man crush on me.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

romney fell down a sewer hole not a rabbit hole.I loved how in his speech he listed all the things that were wrong with wash.but didnt bother to say his party have been calling all the shots the last seven years.Dickhead

 
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